Forty-four percent of voters said they would vote for President Obama, while 44 percent said they would pull the lever for Mitt Romney, a statistical tie. Twelve percent said they were unsure.
The question was asked as part of a first-of-its-kind Rare poll that surveyed only respondents under 40. The questions were tailored to chart trends in the opinions of younger voters.
For voters ages 18-29, typically regarded as the “youth vote,” Obama won 51 percent to Romney’s 37 percent. This shows serious erosion for Obama since the presidential election, when he won 60 percent of the youth vote. Youth voters made up roughly 19 percent of the 2012 electorate and many analysts believe their support decided the election.
The most startling finding may be that Romney would win 43 percent of the Hispanic vote, up from 27 percent in 2012 and the most since President George W. Bush won 44 percent of the Hispanic vote in 2004.
Roman Catholics, often seen as kingmakers in presidential elections, would support Romney over Obama by eight points, according to the poll.
Still, Tom Fitton of Judicial Watch said the poll wasn’t particularly good news for either candidate.
“If I were Governor Romney I wouldn’t go around promoting this poll,” Fitton told Rare in a phone interview. “It’s no ringing endorsement of Romney, but certainly no ringing endorsement of President Obama.”
The Rare survey was conducted by nonpartisan Gravis Marketing between August 11 and August 18. A total of 556 respondents under age 40 were interviewed over the phone and using Internet panels. Overall, the poll has a margin of error of 5 percent.
Matt Naham contributed to this report.